Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 2.156240 2.467482 2.799107 3.177789 3.597237 4.046616 4.563454
2024-12-29 1.649728 2.090471 2.598467 3.222640 3.963981 4.811305 5.847647
2025-01-05 1.312905 1.824246 2.456156 3.283049 4.324027 5.577929 7.187998
2025-01-12 1.032090 1.564154 2.265504 3.236801 4.523628 6.144949 8.313567
2025-01-19 0.860315 1.409772 2.176618 3.291888 4.834511 6.851763 9.641038
2025-01-26 0.724744 1.278452 2.093338 3.332358 5.113198 7.519043 10.942308
2025-02-02 0.620884 1.174113 2.029466 3.383777 5.398336 8.199179 12.285112
2025-02-09 0.523584 1.061634 1.935095 3.373480 5.584345 8.742240 13.457133
2025-02-16 0.435556 0.948016 1.821576 3.316735 5.688825 9.165459 14.471166
2025-02-23 0.378283 0.878442 1.769381 3.347262 5.920687 9.777069 15.773285
2025-03-02 0.319000 0.793582 1.678864 3.302893 6.026968 10.201194 16.813510
2025-03-09 0.281430 0.744739 1.644990 3.347859 6.273881 10.843411 18.196379
2025-03-16 0.240278 0.681924 1.580092 3.337192 6.436415 11.376051 19.458594
2025-03-23 0.219870 0.661650 1.594534 3.470196 6.848807 12.321774 21.396103
2025-03-30 0.198587 0.635033 1.592836 3.572569 7.214289 13.208999 23.278520
2025-04-06 0.168316 0.579257 1.523437 3.539356 7.339052 13.710425 24.572819
2025-04-13 0.150043 0.550354 1.506892 3.605735 7.642718 14.515935 26.377462
2025-04-20 0.132699 0.519752 1.482165 3.652421 7.911419 15.272086 28.126895
2025-04-27 0.118154 0.493571 1.463699 3.709177 8.200175 16.071612 29.971824
2025-05-04 0.101743 0.457107 1.415621 3.698658 8.359832 16.654220 31.476592
2025-05-11 0.085231 0.415132 1.347532 3.637729 8.416986 17.058318 32.694302
2025-05-18 0.075128 0.392053 1.323618 3.670748 8.657414 17.791504 34.486427
2025-05-25 0.063267 0.358384 1.266571 3.622954 8.732784 18.231122 35.790084